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Winter is approaching and the European Union, following the lead of the U.S.A., is firmly persisting in its policy of sanctions against the Russian Federation. Yet the prospect of closing down of Gazprom's pipelines, which cover about 30% of the gas requirements of the European area, seems now to be worrying the political establishment of Brussels…
The Ukraine crisis remains one of the most vexed issues on the international agenda. The interested parties are making efforts to resolve it, and important steps towards peace have already been taken. So far, however, this is not enough to halt the bloodshed. The OSCE is actively involved in monitoring events in Ukraine, but many people believe the…
Russia's leaders have long recognized a need for competitive politics. They tried twice, in 1995 and in 2006, to create a two-party system from above. Most observers among those who even took note of these attempts ridiculed them. Both times, they stressed that the parties created from above were "pro-Kremlin," so the attempt to…
The U.S. together with five Sunni Arab nations, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, UAE, Bahrain and Qatar, began an air campaign against ISIS and Al Qaeda strongholds in Syria last night. The emergence of this coalition is a major breakthrough for America. Targets included an important oil refinery as part of the need to deprive ISIS of…
According to the classical ‘arms race’ theory by Lewis Richardson, military preparations of one’s side are directly proportional to rival’s potential and inversely – to its own accumulated arsenals. However differential equations don’t leave space for political choice as mathematically there can be only three…
Despite Hollywood romanticizing about Bonds and Bournes, one of the most prevalent forms of modern intelligence activity is also arguably the least emphasized: economic and industrial espionage. Aimed at garnering a financial and innovation advantage for countries seeking greater influence in a highly globalized world, this activity is not…
Mikhail Gorbachev was naive. Boris Yeltsin was obsessed by his power struggle with Gorbachev. As a result, Soviet citizens who overnight, without their consent found themselves living in foreign countries, were left without protection of vital rights and interests. As a result, the USSR and its successor state, the Russian Federation, were…
As events in Syria have been unfolding, a remark made several years ago by King Abdullah of Jordan sticks in my mind. Abdullah, an intelligent, enlightened monarch like his father King Hussein, was explaining why he was optimistic about the future of the Arab world. He spoke about a new generation of Arab leaders whose views were like his--for example…
America is being challenged by three serious crises at the present time and triage is necessary. Metastasizing ISIS, more than Ukraine or Ebola is a pandemic situation and the most serious of the three. It´s Flames of War video must be taken as seriously as the beheading videos of three hostages earlier. ISIS´s language of…
Describing the project of the Eurasian Union Vladimir Putin referred to the successful integration experience of the EU. It is not about feasibility of the EAU what I am concerned with. Putin's project has indeed close resemblance to the European one, but do we need a blueprint? In my opinion, contemporary political science - both theory and…
While most international organizations and foreign states have made attempts to explicitly fuse drones and targeted killing to already established norms, ethics, and rules of war, the United States has focused more on drones being something of a semi-covert tool of political means. In other words, drone war is not necessarily the exact same…
Three possible scenarios of a political solution to the Ukrainian crisis: cold war, cold peace, and peaceful coexistence . Today we witness the realization of the last, intermediate scenario, which, in addition to everything else, is a Soviet legacy. In the Soviet times the peaceful coexistence theory was tested in the USSR as a form of continuation…
Economic intellectualism is a closed-loop belief system that circles endlessly within its own logic. Like a machine repeating the same calculation, it is mathematically bound, theorem-driven, and focused on proving that 2 + 2 = 4—again and…
Human intelligence is a gift of humankind. It cannot be tabletized, tonicficated, or injected; it perpetually remains, like a sacred miracle, it only rests in our minds and our souls. No other creature in our universe possesses such a level of…
Who doesn't remember looking through a kaleidoscope for the first time as a child? Colorful little particles magically reassemble themselves again and again. Turn the kaleidoscope and multiple reflections create unique beautiful shapes. New patterns…
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Владимир Орлов, Елена Карнаухова